Southern Miss
W-L: (35-23) PR = 91.6625Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 0-14, 88.7) 8- 0 207 H Lipscomb ASUN ( 1-10, 88.6) 5- 4 207 H UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 14- 7 208 H Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 0-14, 88.7) 5- 2 208 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 3- 8 210 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 0- 5 213 A Loyola Chicago A10 ( 1-11, 87.9) 2- 3 213 H Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 1- 8, 86.9) 8- 4 214 H St. John's BE ( 2- 3, 92.6) 0- 4 214 A Alabama State SWAC ( 1-11, 87.1) 10- 1 215 H St. John's BE ( 2- 3, 92.6) 6- 7 217 H McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 6- 8 220 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 2- 1 221 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 0- 8 222 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 1- 4 225 A Nicholls SL ( 8-10, 92.4) 7- 3 227 H Chattanooga SO ( 3-11, 88.4) 6- 0 228 H Lamar SL (10- 7, 92.6) 3- 0 228 H Morehead State OV ( 0- 2, 89.4) 4- 3 301 H Chattanooga SO ( 3-11, 88.4) 4- 0 301 H Jackson State SWAC ( 0- 6, 85.2) 4- 1 301 H Chattanooga SO ( 3-11, 88.4) 4- 0 301 H Jackson State SWAC ( 0- 6, 85.2) 4- 1 303 H Alcorn State SWAC ( 0- 4, 87.6) 5- 2 306 A North Florida ASUN ( 6- 5, 93.8) 2- 3 306 H Brown IVY ( 1- 5, 84.7) 1- 0 307 A Brown IVY ( 1- 5, 84.7) 18- 2 307 A Jacksonville ASUN ( 1- 7, 88.9) 7- 5 308 A Presbyterian BSO ( 0- 4, 85.7) 11- 6 311 A SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 3-11 313 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 6- 1 314 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 1- 9 315 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 9- 1 318 A UNC Greensboro SO ( 7- 9, 91.1) 1- 8 320 A App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 4-17 321 A App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 13- 4 322 A App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 13-10 325 H Nicholls SL ( 8-10, 92.4) 5- 4 327 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 4- 9 328 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 6- 0 329 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 2-10 402 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 9-15 403 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 5- 4 403 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 5- 0 408 H SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 4- 5 410 H Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 1- 0 411 H Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 1- 2 412 H Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 2- 1 417 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 1- 7 418 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 1- 8 419 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 2- 1 421 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 5-12 424 H South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 5- 1 425 H South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 3- 2 426 A New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 8- 1 430 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 6- 4 502 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 0- 1 502 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 1- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Southeast Missouri Sta 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.33
207 H Lipscomb 5- 4 1 4 - -2.79
207 H UAB 14- 7 7 1 +++ 6.06
208 H Southeast Missouri Sta 5- 2 3 4 -0.67
208 H Louisiana Tech 3- 8 -5 0 -- -4.62
210 A Mississippi State 0- 5 -5 -6 0.61
213 A Loyola Chicago 2- 3 -1 3 - -4.00
213 H Bethune-Cookman 8- 4 4 6 -1.54
214 H St. John's 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.83
214 A Alabama State 10- 1 9 4 ++ 5.21
215 H St. John's 6- 7 -1 0 -0.83
217 H McNeese 6- 8 -2 0 -1.59
220 A Louisiana Tech 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.87
221 A Louisiana Tech 0- 8 -8 -2 --- -6.13
222 A Louisiana Tech 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.13
225 A Nicholls 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 5.45
227 H Chattanooga 6- 0 6 4 + 2.04
228 H Lamar 3- 0 3 0 + 3.23
228 H Morehead State 4- 3 1 3 -1.97
301 H Chattanooga 4- 0 4 4 0.04
301 H Jackson State 4- 1 3 7 -- -4.25
301 H Chattanooga 4- 0 4 4 0.04
301 H Jackson State 4- 1 3 7 -- -4.25
303 H Alcorn State 5- 2 3 5 -1.78
306 A North Florida 2- 3 -1 -3 1.88
307 A Brown 18- 2 16 6 +++ 7.81
307 A Jacksonville 7- 5 2 2 -0.03
308 A Presbyterian 11- 6 5 5 -0.20
311 A SE Louisiana 3-11 -8 -3 -- -5.25
313 H Louisiana 6- 1 5 -1 ++ 5.81
314 H Louisiana 1- 9 -8 -1 --- -7.19
315 H Louisiana 9- 1 8 -1 +++ 8.81
318 A UNC Greensboro 1- 8 -7 0 --- -6.77
320 A App State 4-17 -13 -2 --- -11.25
321 A App State 13- 4 9 -2 +++ 10.75
322 A App State 13-10 3 -2 ++ 4.75
325 H Nicholls 5- 4 1 0 0.97
327 H Louisiana Tech 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.62
328 H Houston 6- 0 6 1 ++ 4.71
329 A Troy 2-10 -8 -2 --- -6.16
402 H James Madison 9-15 -6 0 -- -5.68
403 H James Madison 5- 4 1 0 1.32
403 H James Madison 5- 0 5 0 ++ 5.32
408 H SE Louisiana 4- 5 -1 -1 0.26
411 H Georgia Southern 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.76
412 H Georgia Southern 2- 1 1 2 -0.76
417 A Texas State 1- 7 -6 -3 - -3.31
418 A Texas State 1- 8 -7 -3 -- -4.31
419 A Texas State 2- 1 1 -3 + 3.69
421 A Ole Miss 5-12 -7 -4 - -2.62
424 H South Alabama 5- 1 4 0 + 3.98
425 H South Alabama 3- 2 1 0 0.98
426 A New Mexico 8- 1 7 -1 +++ 8.28
430 H Missouri State 6- 4 2 2 0.39
502 A UL Monroe 1- 2 -1 -2 0.72
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Louisiana Tech 0- 8 -8 -2 --- -6.13 314 H Louisiana 1- 9 -8 -1 --- -7.19 318 A UNC Greensboro 1- 8 -7 0 --- -6.77 320 A App State 4-17 -13 -2 --- -11.25 329 A Troy 2-10 -8 -2 --- -6.16 208 H Louisiana Tech 3- 8 -5 0 -- -4.62 301 H Jackson State 4- 1 3 7 -- -4.25 301 H Jackson State 4- 1 3 7 -- -4.25 311 A SE Louisiana 3-11 -8 -3 -- -5.25 327 H Louisiana Tech 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.62 402 H James Madison 9-15 -6 0 -- -5.68 418 A Texas State 1- 8 -7 -3 -- -4.31 207 H Lipscomb 5- 4 1 4 - -2.79 213 A Loyola Chicago 2- 3 -1 3 - -4.00 214 H St. John's 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.83 411 H Georgia Southern 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.76 417 A Texas State 1- 7 -6 -3 - -3.31 421 A Ole Miss 5-12 -7 -4 - -2.62 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H UAB 14- 7 7 1 +++ 6.06 307 A Brown 18- 2 16 6 +++ 7.81 315 H Louisiana 9- 1 8 -1 +++ 8.81 321 A App State 13- 4 9 -2 +++ 10.75 426 A New Mexico 8- 1 7 -1 +++ 8.28 206 H Southeast Missouri Sta 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.33 214 A Alabama State 10- 1 9 4 ++ 5.21 225 A Nicholls 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 5.45 313 H Louisiana 6- 1 5 -1 ++ 5.81 322 A App State 13-10 3 -2 ++ 4.75 328 H Houston 6- 0 6 1 ++ 4.71 403 H James Madison 5- 0 5 0 ++ 5.32 220 A Louisiana Tech 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.87 227 H Chattanooga 6- 0 6 4 + 2.04 228 H Lamar 3- 0 3 0 + 3.23 419 A Texas State 2- 1 1 -3 + 3.69 424 H South Alabama 5- 1 4 0 + 3.98 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Southeast Miss ( 0-14, 88.7) 8- 0 -11.16 8.21 -0.74 0.43 6.49
3 H Lipscomb ( 1-10, 88.6) 5- 4 -11.29 8.08 -0.74 0.43 6.38
3 H UAB (21-32, 91.5) 14- 7 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.43 8.86
3 H Southeast Miss ( 0-14, 88.7) 5- 2 -11.16 8.21 -0.74 0.43 6.49
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 3- 8 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 0.43 -1.71
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 0- 5 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.43 -0.57
3 A Loyola Chicago ( 1-11, 87.9) 2- 3 -11.98 7.39 0.74 0.43 -2.44
3 H Bethune-Cookma ( 1- 8, 86.9) 8- 4 -13.04 6.33 -0.74 0.43 4.86
3 H St. John's ( 2- 3, 92.6) 0- 4 -7.32 12.05 -0.74 0.43 -1.75
3 A Alabama State ( 1-11, 87.1) 10- 1 -12.77 6.60 0.74 0.43 6.38
3 H St. John's ( 2- 3, 92.6) 6- 7 -7.32 12.05 -0.74 0.43 -1.75
3 H McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 6- 8 -7.09 12.28 -0.74 0.43 -1.70
3 A Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 2- 1 -7.11 12.26 0.74 0.43 11.30
3 A Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 0- 8 -7.11 12.26 0.74 0.43 -1.38
3 A Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 1- 4 -7.11 12.26 0.74 0.43 -1.38
3 A Nicholls ( 8-10, 92.4) 7- 3 -7.53 11.84 0.74 0.43 10.93
3 H Chattanooga ( 3-11, 88.4) 6- 0 -11.45 7.92 -0.74 0.43 6.24
3 H Lamar (10- 7, 92.6) 3- 0 -7.27 12.10 -0.74 0.43 9.87
3 H Morehead State ( 0- 2, 89.4) 4- 3 -10.46 8.91 -0.74 0.43 7.10
3 H Chattanooga ( 3-11, 88.4) 4- 0 -11.45 7.92 -0.74 0.43 6.24
3 H Jackson State ( 0- 6, 85.2) 4- 1 -14.74 4.63 -0.74 0.43 3.38
3 H Chattanooga ( 3-11, 88.4) 4- 0 -11.45 7.92 -0.74 0.43 6.24
3 H Jackson State ( 0- 6, 85.2) 4- 1 -14.74 4.63 -0.74 0.43 3.38
3 H Alcorn State ( 0- 4, 87.6) 5- 2 -12.27 7.10 -0.74 0.43 5.53
3 A North Florida ( 6- 5, 93.8) 2- 3 -6.10 13.27 0.74 0.43 -1.16
3 H Brown ( 1- 5, 84.7) 1- 0 -15.17 4.20 -0.74 0.43 3.01
3 A Brown ( 1- 5, 84.7) 18- 2 -15.17 4.20 0.74 0.43 4.30
3 A Jacksonville ( 1- 7, 88.9) 7- 5 -11.01 8.36 0.74 0.43 7.91
3 A Presbyterian ( 0- 4, 85.7) 11- 6 -14.18 5.19 0.74 0.43 5.15
3 A SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 3-11 -6.23 13.14 0.74 0.43 -1.19
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 6- 1 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 0.43 10.38
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 1- 9 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 0.43 -1.61
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 9- 1 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 0.43 10.38
3 A UNC Greensboro ( 7- 9, 91.1) 1- 8 -8.75 10.62 0.74 0.43 -1.74
3 A App State (29-22, 92.7) 4-17 -7.23 12.14 0.74 0.43 -1.41
3 A App State (29-22, 92.7) 13- 4 -7.23 12.14 0.74 0.43 11.19
3 A App State (29-22, 92.7) 13-10 -7.23 12.14 0.74 0.43 11.19
3 H Nicholls ( 8-10, 92.4) 5- 4 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.43 9.64
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 4- 9 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 0.43 -1.71
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 6- 0 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 0.43 8.55
3 A Troy (31-20, 92.8) 2-10 -7.14 12.23 0.74 0.43 -1.39
3 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 9-15 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 0.43 -1.72
3 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 5- 4 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 0.43 9.96
3 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 5- 0 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 0.43 9.96
3 H SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 4- 5 -6.23 13.14 -0.74 0.43 -1.52
3 H Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 1- 0 -9.26 10.11 -0.74 0.43 8.15
3 H Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 1- 2 -9.26 10.11 -0.74 0.43 -2.17
3 H Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 2- 1 -9.26 10.11 -0.74 0.43 8.15
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 1- 7 -6.29 13.08 0.74 0.43 -1.21
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 1- 8 -6.29 13.08 0.74 0.43 -1.21
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 2- 1 -6.29 13.08 0.74 0.43 12.01
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 5-12 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.43 -0.84
3 H South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 5- 1 -7.52 11.85 -0.74 0.43 9.66
3 H South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 3- 2 -7.52 11.85 -0.74 0.43 9.66
3 A New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 8- 1 -7.70 11.67 0.74 0.43 10.78
3 H Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 6- 4 -9.10 10.27 -0.74 0.43 8.28
3 A UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 0- 1 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.43 -1.42
3 A UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 1- 2 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.43 -1.42
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243.53
|
winning pts = 277.9350 losing points = -34.4031
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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